United States & Canada - International Council on Clean Transportation https://theicct.org/region/united-states-canada/ Independent research to benefit public health and mitigate climate change Thu, 18 Jan 2024 16:50:06 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.3 https://theicct.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/favicon-150x150.png United States & Canada - International Council on Clean Transportation https://theicct.org/region/united-states-canada/ 32 32 Jessica Peyton https://theicct.org/team-member/jessica-peyton/ Thu, 18 Jan 2024 16:29:23 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=team-member&p=35811 Jessica is the Associate Communications Specialist for the US and Canada. She supports the development and implementation of communications strategy and outreach activities such as media engagement, webinars, social media campaigns, and newsletters. Previously, Jessica worked on the public engagement team at SPUR, a non-profit public policy think tank in San Francisco, organizing public programs […]

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Jessica is the Associate Communications Specialist for the US and Canada. She supports the development and implementation of communications strategy and outreach activities such as media engagement, webinars, social media campaigns, and newsletters. Previously, Jessica worked on the public engagement team at SPUR, a non-profit public policy think tank in San Francisco, organizing public programs across multiple policy areas including sustainability and transportation. Jessica holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Sociology and Marketing from the College of William and Mary in Williamsburg, Virginia.

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Assessment of light-duty electric vehicle costs in Canada in the 2023 to 2040 time frame https://theicct.org/publication/assessment-of-light-duty-electric-vehicle-costs-in-canada-in-the-2023-to-2040-time-frame-dec23/ Fri, 22 Dec 2023 04:02:07 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=publication&p=34764 Assesses the projected upfront costs of light-duty electric vehicles in Canada from 2023 to 2035 2040 under various scenarios, including when various vehicle segments may achieve cost parity with internal combustion engine vehicles.

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With Canada poised to require that all sales of passenger light-duty vehicles be zero-emission by 2035, this paper examines the costs of producing zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) compared to internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). The primary emphasis is on the powertrain, specifically the battery and electric drive components, as major contributors to ZEV production costs. The study aims to provide detailed Canada-specific cost breakdowns of ZEV powertrains across various vehicle classes and estimate how these costs will evolve over the next two decades.

The analysis outlines different scenarios for when ZEVs will reach upfront cost parity with ICEVs, considering factors such as battery costs, inflation, and raw material prices. In the baseline scenario, ZEVs are projected to achieve upfront cost parity with ICEVs by 2035 for certain vehicle segments. In a more pessimistic scenario, luxury segments may not reach parity by 2040. An optimistic scenario envisions cost parity across all classes and segments by 2040, with some achieving it by 2035. The analysis also highlights the impact of indirect overhead cost assumptions on the timing of total original equipment manufacturer (OEM) cost parity.

Notably, the analysis shows that plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) will not reach cost parity with ICEVs in any overlapping classes or segments. The paper notes that additional measures, apart from government subsidies, may help hasten cost parity, including the adoption of advanced battery technology and increased government support for charging infrastructure.

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Two reasons the EV transition could mean more U.S. manufacturing jobs: Vertical integration and onshoring https://theicct.org/two-reasons-the-ev-transition-could-mean-more-us-manufacturing-jobs-dec23/ Thu, 21 Dec 2023 04:01:22 +0000 https://theicct.org/?p=34645 Highlights the potentially positive impact of the electric vehicle (EV) transition on manufacturing jobs in the United States.

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A major win in the recent United Auto Workers (UAW) strike was when GM agreed to include its battery manufacturing workers under the union’s master contract. Propelled in part by this historic victory, thousands of previously non-union autoworkers are now organizing to join the UAW, including those at companies leading in vehicle electrification.

But amidst CEO assertions that building battery electric vehicles (BEVs) involves 30% less effort or a 30% reduction in hours, is there reason for U.S. labor to worry about the EV transition? We think not, for two key reasons. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) are helping automakers to (1) vertically integrate and (2) onshore BEV production by providing billions of dollars of incentives and investment in domestic industry. Recent research suggests this combination will support more auto manufacturing jobs, not less. In addition, growing the EV industry at home will make U.S.-made vehicles more competitive in other regions with strong environmental regulations, and looking at BEV production at the company and industry levels as opposed to the single-vehicle or component-count levels brings a different view.

FEV recently conducted a detailed analysis comparing the assembly requirements of a VW Tiguan, an internal combustion engine vehicle (ICEV), and a VW ID4, a BEV. The study found that the total labor cost (from both VW and its suppliers) for the BEV exceeded that of the ICEV. However, under current manufacturing arrangements at VW, the labor to assemble the most expensive parts unique to the BEV—the battery pack and motor—occurs outside of VW plants because these items are purchased from suppliers. That contrasts sharply with the most expensive ICEV-specific parts—the engine, transmission, and exhaust aftertreatment system—which are mostly built in-house. Given FEV’s estimated total labor requirements for BEV production exceed that of ICEV production, bringing motor, battery module, and battery cell fabrication in-house could lead to higher in-house labor hours to build BEVs than ICEVs.

A comprehensive 2022 study by researchers at Carnegie Mellon that compared the labor demands of manufacturing ICEVs and BEVs reached similar conclusions. With process-based data from automaker shop floors supplemented with public literature, the authors determined that BEV powertrains require more labor hours than ICEVs, primarily due to battery and cell manufacturing.

The question then becomes: Are automakers integrating motor and battery pack and cell manufacturing? Indeed, in their efforts to reduce BEV costs while improving performance and driving range, automakers are vertically integrating by moving battery and motor assembly in-house. Shifting from purchasing these expensive components to making them in-house reduces overall costs. So, although one CEO said “the most important thing” is to reduce labor content, vertical integration of motors and batteries signals more assembly time—and thus more in-house labor—for BEV production.

This also holds true from an industry-level perspective that considers both automakers and their suppliers. A 2021 report by the Economic Policy Institute estimated that increasing the share of domestically produced EV powertrain components to match that of ICEVs today and increasing domestic vehicle production by 10 percentage points could lead to about 150,000 additional auto parts and assembly jobs. The report relied on the single-vehicle perspective to estimate the impact of BEV production on auto assembly jobs and as companies increasingly move toward vertical integration, it may thus underestimate the amount of in-house labor required to assemble a fleet of BEVs.

More broadly, the EV transition necessitates an entirely new and substantial charging network at homes, workplaces, and public locations. That will demand significant labor hours across the country in a variety of industries, including electrical, construction, maintenance, planning and design, and charging infrastructure assembly. There are lots of good reasons to be optimistic about BEV manufacturing and jobs in the United States.

Let’s also recognize that automakers seeking to maximize profit will apply as many labor- and cost-reducing efforts to as many vehicles as possible, whether ICEVs or BEVs. Recent announcements from Ford, Tesla, and Toyota describe reducing manufacturing costs for BEVs through improving worker productivity, reducing factory size and/or complexity, increasing factory flexibility, and reducing assembly steps through vehicle component parts reduction. These improvements also apply to ICEVs, as evidenced by Toyota, Ford, General Motors, and others.

As UAW President Shawn Fain explained, the dichotomy between good jobs and green jobs is “a false choice.” We’re going to need lots of BEVs to quickly and substantially reduce the climate impact of transportation. The EV transition could increase U.S. jobs, and the keys to creating safe, stable, and good-paying jobs are union actions and government incentives and regulations. Smart public policies like the IRA and BIL invest in and expand domestic manufacturing capabilities, and others like greenhouse gas emission standards ensure that advanced vehicle technologies are developed. Together such policies can ensure that the U.S. automotive sector is globally competitive and served by a strong workforce.

Author

Aaron Isenstadt
Senior Researcher

Peter Slowik
Interim U.S. Passenger Vehicles Lead

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Anish Kumar Sinha https://theicct.org/team-member/anish-kumar-sinha/ Mon, 04 Dec 2023 21:08:15 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=team-member&p=33249 Anish Kumar Sinha is an Associate Researcher for ICCT’s Heavy-Duty Vehicles program in the US. At ICCT, his research focuses on Total Cost of Ownership and cost-effectiveness of charging and battery technologies. Prior to joining ICCT, Anish was a Product and Business Development Manager at ReJoule, a battery health diagnostics startup in Los Angeles where […]

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Anish Kumar Sinha is an Associate Researcher for ICCT’s Heavy-Duty Vehicles program in the US. At ICCT, his research focuses on Total Cost of Ownership and cost-effectiveness of charging and battery technologies. Prior to joining ICCT, Anish was a Product and Business Development Manager at ReJoule, a battery health diagnostics startup in Los Angeles where he focused on building partnerships with second life battery industry stakeholders. Anish holds a Master’s degree in Transportation Technology and Policy as well as Mechanical Engineering from UC Davis and a Bachelor’s degree in Mechanical Engineering from Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, India. Apart from work, Anish enjoys soccer and creative writing.

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He Huang https://theicct.org/team-member/he-huang/ Fri, 03 Nov 2023 14:58:47 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=team-member&p=29627 He is an Aviation Associate Researcher currently based in the Beijing office. His works focus on the airport, aircraft fuel, air pollution, and climate impact of aviation. He is doing special research feeding into China’s aviation policy window. He holds a M.S. in Atmospheric and Oceanic Science from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA).

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He is an Aviation Associate Researcher currently based in the Beijing office. His works focus on the airport, aircraft fuel, air pollution, and climate impact of aviation. He is doing special research feeding into China’s aviation policy window. He holds a M.S. in Atmospheric and Oceanic Science from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA).

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Hae Jeong Cho https://theicct.org/team-member/hae-jeong-cho/ Thu, 02 Nov 2023 20:33:14 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=team-member&p=29613 Hae Jeong Cho is an Associate Researcher on the Marine Team based in San Francisco, CA. Her work focuses on supporting green shipping corridors, decarbonization of ports operation in the U.S. west coast, and zero-emission shipbuilding in Asia. Prior to joining the ICCT, she worked at the Export-Import Bank of Korea and provided ship finance […]

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Hae Jeong Cho is an Associate Researcher on the Marine Team based in San Francisco, CA. Her work focuses on supporting green shipping corridors, decarbonization of ports operation in the U.S. west coast, and zero-emission shipbuilding in Asia. Prior to joining the ICCT, she worked at the Export-Import Bank of Korea and provided ship finance for shipping companies buying ships built in Korea. She holds a Master’s degree in Development Practice from the University of California, Berkeley and a Bachelor’s degree in Economics and English from Seoul National University (South Korea).

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Ketan Gore https://theicct.org/team-member/ketan-gore/ Thu, 12 Oct 2023 14:34:12 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=team-member&p=28812 Ketan Gore is ICCT marine research fellow based in New Delhi, India, where is assisting with marine decarbonization projects for the ICCT’s global marine team, while also helping to develop its Indian maritime strategy. He is currently finishing up a PhD in Operations and Logistics Management from Maynooth University in Ireland. His thesis is titled […]

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Ketan Gore is ICCT marine research fellow based in New Delhi, India, where is assisting with marine decarbonization projects for the ICCT’s global marine team, while also helping to develop its Indian maritime strategy. He is currently finishing up a PhD in Operations and Logistics Management from Maynooth University in Ireland. His thesis is titled “Facilitating green practices within the Irish maritime industry from use of low-to-zero emission technologies.” He is lead author of two recent peer-reviewed articles which have been published in highly-reputed journals: one in the Journal of Environmental Management on cost-benefit assessments of shore side electricity for ships in Ireland and another in Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment on assessing the costs of alternative marine fuels in Ireland. He also holds B. Eng. degree in Electronics from HCET College, India and M.Sc. degree in Business Management from Maynooth University, Ireland.

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Marta Negri https://theicct.org/team-member/marta-negri/ Wed, 11 Oct 2023 16:30:51 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=team-member&p=28716 Marta is an Associate Researcher based in the Berlin office. Her current research work focuses on green steel in the automotive industry and the overall decarbonization of vehicle production. Marta holds a Ph.D. in Management Engineering from the Polytechnic of Milan (Italy), where she developed research on sustainability and resilience of industrial supply chains. She […]

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Marta is an Associate Researcher based in the Berlin office. Her current research work focuses on green steel in the automotive industry and the overall decarbonization of vehicle production. Marta holds a Ph.D. in Management Engineering from the Polytechnic of Milan (Italy), where she developed research on sustainability and resilience of industrial supply chains. She has a background in industrial and supply chain settings, with a M.Sc. in Management Engineering focused on energy generation and management, industrial sustainability, and production and logistics management.

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Andy Navarrete https://theicct.org/team-member/andy-navarrete/ Wed, 11 Oct 2023 16:15:05 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=team-member&p=28710 Andy Navarrete is an Associate Researcher on the Fuels team and is based in the San Francisco office. His work focuses on exploring how policy can enable the replacement of fossil fuels with sustainable alternatives in difficult to decarbonize transportation sectors. Prior to joining the ICCT, Andy was a post-doctoral researcher at the University of […]

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Andy Navarrete is an Associate Researcher on the Fuels team and is based in the San Francisco office. His work focuses on exploring how policy can enable the replacement of fossil fuels with sustainable alternatives in difficult to decarbonize transportation sectors. Prior to joining the ICCT, Andy was a post-doctoral researcher at the University of Southern California where he worked on a Department of Energy funded project testing the feasibility of open-ocean seaweed cultivation for biofuel production. He holds a Ph.D. in Molecular and Cell Biology from the University of California, Berkeley and a Bachelor’s degree in Marine Biology from UCLA.

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Aaron Isenstadt https://theicct.org/team-member/aaron-isenstadt/ Tue, 10 Oct 2023 19:32:21 +0000 https://theicct.org/?post_type=team-member&p=28665 Aaron Isenstadt is a Senior Researcher in the Passenger Vehicle program, with expertise in vehicle technology and policy. Aaron joined the ICCT as a PV Fellow in October 2015 and his work has been supporting the U.S. passenger vehicle greenhouse gas technology assessment. Before joining the ICCT, Aaron worked at the US Patent and Trademark […]

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Aaron Isenstadt is a Senior Researcher in the Passenger Vehicle program, with expertise in vehicle technology and policy. Aaron joined the ICCT as a PV Fellow in October 2015 and his work has been supporting the U.S. passenger vehicle greenhouse gas technology assessment. Before joining the ICCT, Aaron worked at the US Patent and Trademark Office as a patent examiner. He holds a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering from Brown University and in his free time enjoys fixing bikes.

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